The O’s go for the sweep tonight against the Royals, as Erik Bedard tries to outduel KC’s biggest free agent signing in years, Gil Meche. As of this writing it’s 0-0 in the fifth. Post thoughts on the game and the result in the comments.
As we watch/listen…
I’m intrigued like all of you about the possibility of hometown boy Mark Teixeira ending up in black and orange. I’ve spent what amounts to way too much time thinking about it. It makes so much sense on so many levels that it almost seems destined to happen.
Unfortunately, it’ll take more than destiny. There are two ways to do it, each presenting its own set of issues.
The first is simple: wait until he becomes a free agent after the ‘08 season. In that case it’s all about money. I’d be willing to bet that it’ll take (deep breath) something on the order of eight years and $152 million (or $19 mil/year). If that sounds insane, it shouldn’t. He’ll be 28 years old and has already cemented himself as one of the premier power bats of this era. Plus, he’s represented by Scott Boras. There will be no hometown discount — we’ll have to match or top bids from teams like Boston, New York, Anaheim, and Los Angeles (to name a few). Simple, but not easy.
The second is to get him early through a trade and hope to negotiate an extension before he hits the market. In order to pull that off the offer will have to be not just adequate, not just substantial, but exceptional. Texas will not — will not — give him up for a pittance. They hold all the cards in this situation and you can bet they’ll play them one-by-one until they get what they want.
Let’s assume, then, that there are a handful of guys we won’t give up. And by a “handful” I mean Markakis and Bedard. Those are the only guys we should think of as untouchable when it comes to getting a player of Teixeira’s caliber.
We won’t get him for Jay Gibbons and Jon Knott. It’ll take giving up guys like Chris Ray, Daniel Cabrera, Miguel Tejada, etc. It just will. Maybe you can package one of them with a prospect or two (Nolan Reimold?), but it will take legitimate talent. Spare parts won’t do it.
If it’s me making the decision, I say it’s worth it as long a long-term deal is part of the negotiations. But that’s a lot to put together.
update: I just noticed that frequent commenter Wayward O also has some thoughts up on a possible Teixeira trade. Check ‘em out here.