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Mark It: The Ravens are Going to Win the Super Bowl

Ray Lewis will be readyHeadline says it all, folks: I think the Ravens have this one. I think Sunday will be a hell of a day for Baltimore.

I’m not sure this prediction makes much sense from a statistical standpoint. The 49ers are a damn good team and they have more than enough ammunition at their disposal to win the game. Which is to say that I wouldn’t be surprised, at all, if they did in fact win it. But I have to make some kind of prediction and my prediction is the Ravens.

Why? Well, it gets to those intangibles. A Super Bowl isn’t a normal game. The “any given Sunday” rule still applies like it always does but this is a different stage.

Normally you’d first look at the quarterbacks. In this case, neither team has a guy who’s been here before. There’s no Tom Brady or Eli/Peyton Manning or Ben Roethlisberger. But Joe Flacco has a solid playoff résumé while Colin Kaepernick is as immensely green as he is immensely talented. Flacco’s in the right spot, ready to take the next step. Kaepernick has to be feeling a different and altogether more troubling kind of pressure.

Spread it out from there and I see the Ravens with Ed Reed and Ray Lewis (et al) and I don’t see similar personalities on the other side. I see similar — arguably equal — talent, but I don’t see the same brand of what Buck Showalter would call “want to.” All of San Fran’s best players are either young or relatively lacking in playoff experience. Comparatively speaking these Ravens are far more battle tested.

Then there’s just my gut. It isn’t worth much and I wouldn’t advise you to bet with it, but it says the Ravens will win.

I expect a close game. In fact I wouldn’t be surprised if this ends up being one of the closest, most exciting Super Bowls in recent memory. Once the dust settles, though, it’ll be the Ravens at the podium.

Consider this post an open thread for the game for those of you who still wish to comment. I’ll be checking in here and there.

6 comments to Mark It: The Ravens are Going to Win the Super Bowl

  • Big Ben's Motorcycle

    agree with the gut feeling. if ngata and suggs play really well i honestly believe the ravens will win. if kaepernick gets rushed/hit in the pocket consistently enough, i think he can get rattled. it happened to him in three regular season games that everyone seems to have forgotten about after he faced two softer defenses (and one clueless one in green bay) in the first two rounds of the playoffs. i’d also be willing to bet that the ravens and particularly pollard have talked about making him pay for his aggressive running style. ravens 30-24

  • Jeffrey Duncan

    The ‘niners offense doesn’t scare me. There’s a lot of hype about the pistol offense, sf’s multiple weapons, etc. it reminds me of the greatest show on turf goin against the hard-nosed pats in Brady’s rookie year.
    My humble opinion is that this game will hinge on the play of the o-line and Flacco hitting on a big play (hopefully 2) and not fumbleruskying.
    I’m not great with anatomy, but is the heart bone connected to the gut bone? Is the gut bone connected to the brain bone? Is the brain bone connected to the fuck SF it’s our time-bone?

  • Jeffrey Duncan

    Weird (possibly pathetic) side note…Is checking the interwebs daily for Joe Saunders updates during SB week healthy?
    Top 10 reasons why signing Joe Saunders is more important to the city of Baltimore than a Sb win @bleacherreport.com
    Thanks for being you, Neil. Even if you are a ‘skins fan (or steelers, or whatever). I think it’s obvious that i’ve imbibed my share tonight so cheers, go Bmore.

  • Jeffrey Duncan

    I can’t stop now. Nice picks in the title game round. I hope you leveraged your foreknowledge into a nice payday. I trust you blew it all taking Brady Anderson on a dazzling evening of ruth chris steaks and a frigid walk around the inner harbor. He saw you off safely onto the charm city circulator if he’s still a gentleman.

  • Big Ben's Motorcycle

    there’s no chance i’ll ever love a raven more than ed reed. here’s a pretty good piece by kevin van valkenberg about him. http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/2012/story/_/id/8892504/super-bowl-xlvii-ed-reed-hiding-plain-sight

  • Big Ben's Motorcycle

    ps: i’m so happy ray is retiring. i have serious 52 fatigue.